“Private polling seen by the St Albans Times shows Labour would win the new constituency of Harpenden and Berkhamsted …

… telephone and online polling carried out between October 17 and November 29 asked 968 adults who they would vote for if there was a General Election the next day.

All results were weighted by demographics based on 2021 census data, to be representative of age, gender, education level and subregion in the constituency.

The results gave Labour a 4,000 vote lead with the Lib Dems and Tories neck and neck for second place. This poll suggests considerably better outcomes for Labour than models based on national polling.”

Quote from St Albans Times December 2023